Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.179805 0.202577 0.226550 0.253613 0.283258 0.314688 0.350473
2025-05-04 0.149447 0.180207 0.214342 0.254841 0.301380 0.352981 0.414312
2025-05-11 0.130373 0.166659 0.208770 0.260842 0.323059 0.394562 0.482469
2025-05-18 0.116057 0.156332 0.204968 0.267314 0.344340 0.435580 0.550948
2025-05-25 0.100992 0.143026 0.195733 0.265607 0.354623 0.462991 0.603506
2025-06-01 0.089303 0.132521 0.188629 0.265320 0.365749 0.491015 0.657062
2025-06-08 0.079313 0.123062 0.181759 0.264309 0.375189 0.516582 0.707771
2025-06-15 0.073187 0.118193 0.180369 0.270029 0.393144 0.553151 0.773211
2025-06-22 0.066061 0.111102 0.175186 0.269928 0.402873 0.578887 0.824964
2025-06-29 0.059791 0.104607 0.170208 0.269525 0.411771 0.603394 0.875408
2025-07-06 0.054246 0.098640 0.165439 0.268901 0.419994 0.626890 0.924801
2025-07-13 0.050380 0.094926 0.163661 0.272341 0.433844 0.658232 0.985430
2025-07-20 0.047619 0.092862 0.164383 0.279707 0.453925 0.699300 1.061325
2025-07-27 0.043754 0.088565 0.161270 0.280978 0.464989 0.727885 1.120542
2025-08-03 0.041345 0.086537 0.161582 0.287443 0.483880 0.768040 1.196982
2025-08-10 0.039245 0.084844 0.162272 0.294431 0.503684 0.809942 1.276846
2025-08-17 0.035719 0.080184 0.157656 0.292574 0.509715 0.831736 1.328168
2025-08-24 0.032802 0.076366 0.154163 0.292258 0.517962 0.856838 1.384698
2025-08-31 0.030038 0.072551 0.150374 0.291162 0.524784 0.879819 1.438472
2025-09-07 0.028608 0.071253 0.150935 0.297350 0.543339 0.920859 1.519767
2025-09-14 0.026402 0.068130 0.147950 0.297240 0.551590 0.946266 1.578139
2025-09-21 0.024346 0.065099 0.144904 0.296803 0.559174 0.970703 1.635435
2025-09-28 0.022437 0.062180 0.141846 0.296128 0.566232 0.994369 1.691928